PHILADEPHIA(AP)
Cable operators are riding high heading into this year's
industry trade show, which kicks off this weekend.
After a dismal 2007 in which their shares took a big pounding,
cable is seeing a rebound as Wall Street put more weight on their
gains in high-speed Internet and digital voice rather than focusing
mainly on their traditional video services.
Year-to-date, industry leader Comcast Corp.'s shares are up
21 percent after falling 57 percent in 2007. The stock rose 8.6
percent the day that the Philadelphia-based company posted a 23
percent increase in first-quarter operating profit despite losing
57,000 basic video subscribers; its new Internet, phone and digital
video subscribers has made up the difference, and more.
Time Warner Cable Inc. shares are up 10 percent so far this
year, recovering from a 33 percent freefall last year, while
Cablevision Systems Corp.'s stock rose 2 percent after
declining 14 percent in 2007.
For the most part, the slowing economy didn't seem to take
much of a bite. Cable companies added more double- and triple-play
customers _ people who bought two or three bundled services at
lower rates than they would have paid a la carte.
"In the face of an uncertain economy, we're
growing," said Kyle McSlarrow, chief executive of the National
Cable and Telecommunications Association, host of the 2008 Cable
Show in New Orleans.
With features like unlimited domestic phone calls, cable
companies have continued to take business away from rivals such as
Verizon Communications Inc., which lost 3 million residential lines
for traditional phone service in the first quarter, with total home
lines down 11 percent from 2007. Verizon added 263,000 net new FiOS
TV and 262,000 FiOS Internet subscribers.
Peter Stern, chief strategy officer of Time Warner Cable, said
the business has changed.
"If you looked at us about 10 to 12 years ago, 100 percent
of our revenues were derived from analog video. If you look at the
business today, almost 50 percent of our revenues are now derived
from businesses beyond that of analog video," he told The
Associated Press.
This year, cable hopes to continue building this diversity.
They're adding more high-definition content, ramping up
Internet speeds and working on standardizing systems where
customers can use the same cable box or devices such as digital
video recorders regardless of operator.
It helps that the largest operators recently pulled the plug on
an uncompetitive cobranded cell phone venture with Sprint Nextel
Corp. called Pivot.
Instead, Comcast, Time Warner and Bright House Networks have
joined forces with Sprint, Clearwire Corp., Intel Corp. and Google
Inc. to develop a national high-speed WiMax wireless network where
cable will gain more control over the wireless product.
Time Warner, the nation's second largest cable operator,
doesn't see an urgent need to add mobile Internet to its
product line, Stern said. But the Sprint-Clearwire investment is a
hedge against the possibility that wireless will become more
important to cable's competitiveness.
Instead, Time Warner is hot on switched-digital technology,
which sends viewers only the channels they choose to watch, to make
space for more high-definition channels. Stern said nearly half of
Time Warner's cable system uses switched digital and by
year's end, it will be in a "significant majority" of
divisions.
Cable operators will also move more analog channels to the
digital tier this year to free up space, which could upset
consumers on the basic tier because they'll have to upgrade to
the digital package to watch the same shows.
By the end of the year, Time Warner plans to offer 100 HD
channels in New York City, where Verizon has applied for approval
to offer FiOS TV. FiOS is a threat to cable because its fiber-optic
lines go all the way to the home and provide better picture quality
and higher Internet speeds. In contrast, cable runs fiber lines to
a neighborhood node, then uses coaxial cable into the home.
Comcast currently offers 500 high-definition movies, shows and
channels and expects to hit over 1,000 by year's end. The cable
operator is betting on volumes of HD content to keep phone and
satellite TV companies from taking away video customers in markets
where they compete.
The industry as a whole is ramping up its deployment of a
software called Tru2way that would standardize its systems so
consumers can use the same set-top box, DVR and other devices with
any cable operator for two-way services _ such the on-screen TV
guide and video on demand.
Dr. Paul Liao, chief technology officer for Panasonic Corp. of
North America, said the company is on track to unveil this fall a
42-inch and a 50-inch plasma HD-TV that are compatible with
Tru2way.
He said Panasonic is developing a multi-room DVR that would let
viewers, for example, pause a show on a DVR in the living room and
continue watching it in a different room because the devices all
communicate with each other. While other multi-room DVRs are
available already, they largely won't work across different
cable operators, and Panasonic's will, Liao said.
Cable companies also expect to pick up their Internet speeds,
with Comcast deploying Docsis 3.0 technology in 20 percent of its
market by year's end. That technology enables speeds over 100
megabits per second _ compared to the more common 6 Mbps or higher
for cable customers today. Faster speeds come in handy as consumers
gravitate toward watching and sharing video over the Internet.
Time Warner said it's testing Docsis 3.0 in several market
and plans deployment in 2009, though Stern said it appeals mainly
to Internet "enthusiasts" and businesses.
Still, it gives cable a competitive edge.
"The whole game is about differentiation," said Vijay
Jayant, an analyst with Lehman Bros.
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