BELGRADE, Serbia(AP)
Serbia is haunted anew by the ghost of Slobodan Milosevic.
Eight years after the late Serbian strongman was toppled in a
popular revolt, and a little more than two years after his death
while on U.N. trial for genocide and crimes against humanity, his
former loyalists have never been closer to regaining power.
On the eve of Sunday's parliamentary elections, experts
warned that nationalists who have tapped into widespread outrage
over Kosovo's independence may ride an unprecedented wave of
anti-Western sentiment to victory.
"People here just can't shake the feeling that Europe
isn't fair and just toward Serbia," Braca Grubacic, a
prominent political analyst, said Saturday. "Serbia is not
like it used to be, but the problems and the political agenda are
the same as they were during the Milosevic era."
A pro-democracy movement ousted Milosevic in 2000, and the man
who presided over the bloody 1990s breakup of Yugoslavia died in
March 2006 in a prison cell in The Hague, Netherlands, where a U.N.
tribunal was trying him for atrocities in the Balkans.
Milosevic is gone, but he's far from forgotten.
The ultranationalist Serbian Radical Party _ whose leader,
Tomislav Nikolic, proudly proclaims himself even more of a
hard-liner than Milosevic was _ clung to a slim lead heading into
Sunday's vote.
Although President Boris Tadic's pro-Western coalition was
running a close second, potential kingmakers included nationalist
Prime Minister Vojislav Kostunica's conservative coalition and
Milosevic's Socialists. One _ or both _ were expected to team
up with the Radicals to form a new government with a pronounced
anti-Western and pro-Russia stance.
"Our time has come. We have to get rid of the Western
stooges, who have brought us nothing good," said Radmila
Mihajlovic, a 75-year-old Radical supporter and self-proclaimed
former Milosevic follower.
Nikolic and Kostunica have capitalized on an acute sense of
betrayal felt by many Serbs after Kosovo declared independence in
February and gained formal recognition from the U.S., Canada, Japan
and key European powers.
Serbs see Kosovo as the heart of their ancient homeland and
Serbian Orthodox faith, and their bitterness has nudged the country
toward ultranationalists promising to restore bruised national
pride.
The nationalists also have exploited disenchantment with 30
percent unemployment, rising prices and corruption.
Under dictator Josip Broz Tito, who died in 1980, many Serbs had
enough extra cash to travel the world. Today, most struggle
mightily just to make ends meet on a monthly salary that averages
just euro450 ($690).
Tadic, who opposes Kosovo's independence but wants to steer
Serbia toward the European Union, has received death threats. He
also has been publicly denounced as a traitor for signing a
pre-entry aid and trade pact with the EU _ a deal that Kostunica
and Nikolic contend amounts to blood money in exchange for giving
up Kosovo.
Nikolic, meanwhile, has basked in a growing sense that his day
has come.
Over the past five years, the Radicals have steadily gained
power and influence in Serbia. In the last three elections, they
won a majority in the 250-seat parliament, but were unable to
govern without the support of Kostunica's bloc.
It remains unclear exactly what combination of parties will join
forces to form a government _ but a Kostunica-Nikolic alliance has
become increasingly likely.
"It would be a nightmare for the West," said Grubacic,
the political analyst. "But you have to integrate these
Radical voters into the political system. If you want to get rid of
Radicals and that mentality, you have to give them a chance to show
they're bad."
Both Kostunica and Nikolic have said Serbia should shelve its
proclaimed goal of joining the EU, and concentrate instead on
establishing close political and economic ties with Russia.
Some Serbs are understandably skittish about the possibility
that their country could revert to nationalist or even
ultranationalist rule and slide deeper into instability and
isolation.
"God help us if those Radicals come to power with the help
of Kostunica," said Zorica Katanic, a 22-year-old economics
student.
"I could not live through that nightmare once again,"
he said.
But Charles Ingrao, a Balkans expert at Purdue University,
insists the world shouldn't fear a reprise of Milosevic-style
bloodshed.
"The days of Milosevic are gone," he said.
"Serbia can no longer project power beyond its own borders
like it did in the 1990s. I don't know what we're afraid
of. Times have changed."
___
Associated Press writer Dusan Stojanovic contributed to this
report.
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